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INTERVIEW

                                                                                                                                    consider this a useful policy, some
                                                                                                                                    warn about long-term harmful conse-
                                                                                                                                    quences of questioning the “alpha and
                                                                                                                                    omega” of the stable economic growth
                                                                                                                                    – the high domicile savings.

                                                                                                  (photo: http://www.telegraf.rs/)     Dj. Gjuric: The next increasing nega-
                                                                                                                                    tivity is produced from a negative tur-
 All creators of the economic policy                                                                                                bulence and the savers are punished,
  would be cruelly punished because                                                                                                 which is considered so called normal
                                                                                                                                    behavior, and the economic science
    they didn’t care to offer better                                                                                                says that there are no long-term in-
solution for the depositors who have                                                                                                vestments without long-term table
                                                                                                                                    function of saving, which means that
            been saving for years                                                                                                   some next generation will pay the high
                                                                                                                                    price for this “dance” of the politicians
                              of more than 2%, while it is very un-                                                                 which has not been observed in mon-
                              likely that Europe, which is under the                                                                etary history, to punish the savers with
                              burden of the past structural distor-                                                                 negative interest rates, who buy their
                              tions which it didn’t resolve before the                                                              future security with the saving.
                              crisis as well, it will quickly leave this
                              track, for the above indicated reasons                                                                   This is economically suicidal behav-
                              the corporations do not want to bor-                                                                  ior, especially for small open econo-
                              row despite of the interest rates which                                                               mies, because if there is no quality
                              exceed everyone’s imagination, includ-                                                                domestic saving, a question is asked,
                              ing the negative Euribor rate which                                                                   what the growth will be based on.
                              was unimaginable several years ago.                                                                   What is the reaction of the citizens?
                              The population says no, no, no, and the                                                               The households react mostly ratio-
                              corporations too.                                                                                     nally, some withdraw money in a mat-
                                                                                                                                    tress, while other, which is actually ec-
                                     The attitudes of the economists in                                                             onomically suicidal, buy real estate or
                              regard to the effect of negative interest                                                             land considering that in this manner
                              rates are drastically different. Some                                                                 they will preserve the real purchase
                                                                                                                                    power of saving. Actually, only a new
                                                                                                                                    balloon would be created, which at the
                                                                                                                                    moment it explodes, many people who
                                                                                                                                    rely on intuition without knowledge
                                                                                                                                    would be overtaken in the same way as
                                                                                                                                    this happened in Spain. All creators of
                                                                                                                                    the economic policy would be cruelly
                                                                                                                                    punished because they didn’t care to
                                                                                                                                    offer better solution for the depositors
                                                                                                                                    who have been saving for years.

                                                                                                                                          Is there such a solution?

                                                                                                                                       Dj. Gjuric: All economists from the
                                                                                                                                    United States, and onward concluded
                                                                                                                                    that the initial trigger is growth of the
                                                                                                                                    investments in infrastructure: renew-
                                                                                                                                    al of roads, hydro and thermal power
                                                                                                                                    plants, however there is no movement.
                                                                                                                                    Why? Because in regard to indebted-
                                                                                                                                    ness, the public sector reached the

78 November 2016
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