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СРSeluУeВpcБptЕiooРТrntИifnoКrthtАheeFcloarniddaidates for the United States presidential

eSluepcptioorntifnorththeePceannsidlvidanatiaesffoorrtmheeUdnbiteydtShteatewsoprrelsdid, eanntidal particularly  mentioned, they are distributed in a
                                                                                                                 ratio of 90 for Hillary Clinton and 33
                                                                                                                 for Donald Trump. This, apart from
                                                                                                                 the advantage in the “solid states”,
                                                                                                                 shows even greater advantage for Hill-
                                                                                                                 ary Clinton, whose total position of
                                                                                                                 “leaning states” and “solid states” pro-
                                                                                                                 vides her 262 electoral votes, which is
                                                                                                                 only 8 votes less than the required 270
                                                                                                                 votes in order to be elected President
                                                                                                                 of the United States. Donald Trump, on
                                                                                                                 the other hand, can only hope for 126
                                                                                                                 “electoral votes” from the states which
                                                                                                                 are partially and/or firmly inclined to-
                                                                                                                 wards his option.

Support for the candidatestfohretheAUmnieterdicSatnatems peredsiidae, ntwiahl ere certain                        TOSS-UP STATES
election in the Arizona                                                                                             The State of Texas is the second

Source: FT                                                                                                       state according to its size in the United
                                                                                                                 States (California is first), which brings
            victory of the presidential candidate                                                                38 electoral votes for the winner in the
            Hillary Clinton is projected, the shifts                                                             presidential elections. An interesting
            of support in the state of Pennsylvania                                                              fact is that in Texas, since 1976, where
            in favor of the Democratic candidate                                                                 at the elections, the presidential can-
            are one of the key elements to make                                                                  didate of the Democrats, Jimmy Carter
            such a conclusion. However, the total                                                                won, always the candidate of the Re-
            number of electoral votes from the                                                                   publicans had been winning. Usually,
            leaning states is 123 and as we already                                                              in the past electoral cycles, the state
                                                                                                                 of Texas was part of the category of
                                                                                                                 “leaning states” and/or “solid states”
                                                                                                                 for the Republicans, however the polls
                                                                                                                 in these elections show a leadership
                                                                                                                 by Donald Trump of less than five per-
                                                                                                                 centage points. Although it is a mat-
                                                                                                                 ter of a country with an uncertain
                                                                                                                 outcome, the analysts predict close,
                                                                                                                 but certain victory for Donald Trump.
                                                                                                                 Florida, on the other hand, tradition-
                                                                                                                 ally represents a “swing state”, where
                                                                                                                 in the past presidential electoral cycles
                                                                                                                 always won the candidate who later on
                                                                                                                 won the overall race for a President
                                                                                                                 of the United States of America. Al-
                                                                                                                 though only two months ago, the polls
                                                                                                                 showed equality and independence in
                                                                                                                 Florida, in the past three weeks of Oc-
                                                                                                                 tober, the advantage of Hillary Clinton
                                                                                                                 before Donald Trump is approximately
                                                                                                                 4 percentage points. The polls show in
                                                                                                                 total ten “toss-up states”, which all to-
                                                                                                                 gether bring 150 electoral votes for the
                                                                                                                 winner.

74 November 2016
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