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WORLD                                             In the focus

age points. This could be the final outcome if    The crisis strengthened the restructuring of the sector and
the “Volkswagen” scandal with the diesel en-      led to a significant reduction of earnings, however at the
gines jeopardizes the other manufacturers.        same time it attracted new investors: “Mercedes” in Hungary,
At the moment of writing this text, the news      “Volkswagen” in Slovakia, “Bosch” in Hungary, “Renault” and
regarding the recent problems in “Volkswa-        “Toyota” in Turkey and “Fiat” in Serbia
gen” are so fresh, that the experts refrain
from estimations, however they consider that         The impact of the automotive industry on
the new problems will shake the confidence        the overall economic activities in the coun-
of drivers, because they also put in question     try where the assembly of automobiles and
the fuel consumption in Volkswagen’s vehi-        manufacturing of automotive parts has been
cles, which was not the case with the previ-      transferred, exceeds the frames of the statis-
ous problem of car exhaust emissions.             tical range of the group. On the “input side”,
                                                  this sector is driven by the manufacturing of
   The European Transport Federation re-          steel and metal products, the manufacturing
cently warned that the new automobiles            of high-tech and other components, and on
manufactured in Europe emit carbon dioxide        the “output side” it generates a demand for
on average about 40% more than tests show,        auto repair shops, gas stations, automobile
although there are no suggestions that there      wash facilities and other accompanying facil-
is tuned software in the other models. In Eu-     ities. According to Hungary’s experience, for
rope the diesel automobiles participate in the    every 100 new job positions in the automotive
total automotive manufacturing with 53% (in       industry, 235 additional job positions are gen-
2014) compared to only 3% in the USA. The         erated with the suppliers.
export in the automotive industry from CEE
is mostly concentrated on the European mar-          The relevance of the automotive industry
ket. More precisely, two thirds of the import of  is even greater when it comes to transfer
automobiles and automotive parts from CEE         of technologies. On the wings of the invest-
is directed towards the European Union, and       ments of “Mercedes”, “Volkswagen”, “Daim-
50% towards Germany, United Kingdom and           ler”, “BMW”, of the French, the Italian, the
France. In contrast, the automobile import        American and the Asian manufacturers, the
from Western Europe is directed towards the       CEE countries have built a strong manufac-
United Stated, Asia and the BRICS countries.      turing base and gradually developed the cap-
The growing network of manufacturers of           itally-intensive branches with a higher added
automotive parts in CEE is also concentrated      value that the Western Balkan countries can
on Germany to a great extent. This is not very    only dream of.
good news in a period when Germany weighs
how sharply to punish “Volkswagen”, fearing          According to Mackenzie’s studies from
that this corporate scandal might be trans-       2013, CEE have even then registered a surplus
ferred to other German automobile manufac-        of 2% of the GDP in the knowledge-intensive
turers as well, and might cast a shadow over      sectors, thanks to the automotive sectors.
the entire German industry.                       In contrast, in the Western Balkans there
                                                  is a dominant basis for the part of automo-
Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)                  bile supplies with a labor-intensive structure
and Western Balkans                               (sewing of covers, manufacturing of airbags,
                                                  cable sets etc.), which has lower added value
   Investments in the automotive industry of
CEE are part of one of the most successful
stories since the fall of the Berlin Wall, where
the geopolitical and economic reasons had
the decisive role in the connection prima-
rily of Germany and the economies of these
countries. This historical moment happened
in a period when, realizing that they must in-
crease competitiveness, primarily European
manufacturers started to move the lighter
works in the surrounding countries.

68 November 2015
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